![]() ![]() If a free agent is brought in, it will almost certainly be to handle no more than the Mattison role from last season (5.2 touches, 25% snaps), making Mattison one of the league's best bets for a workhorse role despite often going outside the top 20 at RB. Mattison is 25, has little tread on his tires, and is set to inherit a role that saw Dalvin Cook handle 17.8 touches per game last season. One player who really sticks out as a potential league winner is Alexander Mattison. Youth is also a good indicator of league-winning upside at RB, as 79% of such RBs were 26 or younger and 93% were 28 or younger. RBs drafted outside the top 30 accounted for 21% of such RBs while WRs drafted outside the top 30 accounted for only 9% of such WRs. Nearly half (43%) of such RBs were drafted outside the top 20 RBs, but only 30% of such WRs were drafted outside the top 20 WRs. To get a sense of how to find league-winning upside below ADP, I looked at RBs and WRs who finished in the top six at their position and also beat their positional ADP by at least six spots since 2014. The upside of having a stud RB who does stay healthy is worth investing in one if the value falls that way early, but I'm not willing to invest more than one of my top five picks in an RB. That makes RB the most likely position to see players drafted as starters not finish as such, and players drafted as backups finish as starters. RBs typically miss 2-4 games per season while other positions typically miss 0-2 games. Investing in RBs with early picks has more downside than other positions due to RBs' increased injury risk. This is a great year to employ the Hero RB or Zero RB strategy. The last top-five fantasy seasons posted by a rookie QB were Robert Griffin III in 2012 and Cam Newton in 2011, and that was back when there wasn't as much competition at the top from other dual-threat QBs.ĭOWNLOAD NOW RB strategy: Hero RB or Zero RB We've also seen him post big passing games in the past he has eight career 300-yard games and three games with four or more TD passes.Īnthony Richardson is another favorite late-round target of mine for value, but expectations of returning true, league-winning upside in Year 1 have to be tempered. The addition of Darren Waller and an improved receiving corps in general gives him a shot to greatly improve on his passing numbers. My top target if I miss out on the top eight QBs is Daniel Jones. Deshaun Watson has the dual-threat ability to post a top-four season, but he doesn't have quite the rushing upside as the top QBs and his passing upside is in question after last season. Dak Prescott has a high floor, but his ceiling was higher under Moore and when the Cowboys defense wasn't as good. The talent is there and his receiving corps is similarly stacked, but the offensive line isn't as good and the track record doesn't measure up, so it's more of a projection.Īfter Lawrence, I think the chance of finding a league-winning type performance drops precipitously. Trevor Lawrence is a poor man's Herbert or Burrow in terms of upside. Dak Prescott averaged 321.8 passing yards per game in Moore's first two seasons as offensive coordinator in Dallas, and Herbert has everything in place to put up similar totals. The Chargers will likely be the league's fastest-paced and most aggressive pass offense. Justin Herbert is also intriguing due to the hiring of Kellen Moore at offensive coordinator. If I don't get one of the top three, Justin Fields is my ideal target because he's capable of putting up similar numbers to Hurts, Allen, and Lamar Jackson but tends to go off the board at QB7. If you want to print this, make sure you adjust for your settings (margins, etc.My ideal stud QB target is Jalen Hurts because I have him ranked QB1 and he typically goes off the board after Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. ![]() Negative value represents “negative value” compared to replacement level - in baseball, you can actually lose value in some ways (for category leagues) - again, it’s just a representation to see true “value.”.If you want just a clean set of ranks to peruse, you can find them here.Auction values are based on 14-team, $260-budget, 26-player teams.It’s just a better way of ranking and assigning value. One note for this set: This is for replacement value. And a fully customizable tool that will allow you to turn these projections into personalized rankings by inputting all your league settings. We’ll have points rankings in a separate post coming soon. They’re also separated by position, they have AL and NL designations for mono-leaguers, and I’ll be updating this as things change throughout the preseason. There’s an overall rank for hitters and an overall for pitchers. Welcome to the 2024 fantasy baseball season! What you’ll find below is a downloadable “cheat sheet” that has auction values, projections and rankings for 650 players. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply.AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |